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← TT Elite Series predictions
26 Sep · 23:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DFDamian Fira
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1411
2-3Final setsTkaczyk won
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1625
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 72%. The actual result was Henryk Tkaczyk 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Fira is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Damian Firapre 29% → final 18%
Henryk Tkaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsTkaczyk recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games