27 Sept · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1448
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1613
FormLWWLL
32%
68%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 65% (94)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)