Michal Machelski vs Cezary Pawlik — TT Elite Series

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27 Sep · 02:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Michal Machelski

ELO 1419

3-1Final setsMachelski won

🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik

ELO 1627

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 71%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-1 — the underdog won.

Michal Machelski — profile →Cezary Pawlik — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.15

Upset

Total 69.5

68 points played

Under

Set handicap

Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Cezary Pawlik −9.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Cezary Pawlik.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 24% → final 100%

Cezary Pawlik ▼

Biggest swing 92 ptsMachelski recovered from 8%67 points · 4 games