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27 Sep · 04:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1495
3-1Final setsIdaczyk won
PZPiotr Zemla
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1588
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zemla at 62%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Zemla favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 72.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Zemla −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Zemla −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Piotr Zemla.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 34% → final 72%
Piotr Zemla ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 20%65 points · 4 games