27 Sep · 04:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1425
3-1Final setsFira won
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1451
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Wiza at 50%. The actual result was Damian Fira 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Fira favoured — closing 1.75
Total 74.5
73 points played
Set handicap
Fira −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Fira −1.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Fira is favoured to win, below means Roman Wiza.
▲ Damian Firapre 54% → final 89%
Roman Wiza ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsFira recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games