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27 Sep · 04:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DWDamian Wasilewski
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1487
3-2Final setsWasilewski won
TPTomasz Pisarczyk
🇵🇱Tomasz Pisarczyk
ELO 1385
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wasilewski at 64%. The actual result was Damian Wasilewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Damian Wasilewski favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 71.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Damian Wasilewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Damian Wasilewski −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Wasilewski is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Pisarczyk.

▲ Damian Wasilewskipre 62% → final 92%
Tomasz Pisarczyk ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsWasilewski recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games