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27 Sep · 04:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1355
3-1Final setsRolak won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1289
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 54%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Eliasz favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adrian Eliasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Eliasz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 58% → final 96%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts70 points · 4 games