Lukasz Bernacki vs Henryk Tkaczyk — TT Elite Series

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27 Sep · 05:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki

ELO 1477

3-1Final setsBernacki won

🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk

ELO 1597

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 65%. The actual result was Lukasz Bernacki 3-1 — the underdog won.

Lukasz Bernacki — profile →Henryk Tkaczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.37

Upset

Total 72.5

81 points played

Over

Set handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

6.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Bernacki is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Lukasz Bernackipre 37% → final 93%

Henryk Tkaczyk ▼

Biggest swing 67 ptsBernacki recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games