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27 Sep · 05:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKarol Kufel
🇵🇱Karol Kufel
ELO 1491
3-1Final setsKufel won
GKGracjan Kesik
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1503
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kesik at 52%. The actual result was Karol Kufel 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Gracjan Kesik favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Gracjan Kesik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Gracjan Kesik −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Kufel is favoured to win, below means Gracjan Kesik.

▲ Karol Kufelpre 51% → final 98%
Gracjan Kesik ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsKufel recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games