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27 Sep · 05:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1331
0-3Final setsRolak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1355
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 53%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 57% → final 5%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsRolak recovered from 43%56 points · 3 games