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27 Sep · 06:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1398
1-3Final setsEliasz won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1307
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 61%. The actual result was Adrian Eliasz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Eliasz favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Eliasz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Adrian Eliasz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 65% → final 6%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsEliasz recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games