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27 Sep · 06:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1501
3-1Final setsIdaczyk won
OSOskar Sokolowski
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1373
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Idaczyk at 58%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Idaczyk favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Idaczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Idaczyk −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Oskar Sokolowski.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 62% → final 100%
Oskar Sokolowski ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 37%68 points · 4 games