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27 Sep · 06:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RPRoman Piechnik
🇵🇱Roman Piechnik
ELO 1400
3-1Final setsPiechnik won
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1623
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 74%. The actual result was Roman Piechnik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 71.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Piechnik is favoured to win, below means Patryk Jedrzejak.

▲ Roman Piechnikpre 21% → final 83%
Patryk Jedrzejak ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsPiechnik recovered from 14%72 points · 4 games