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27 Sep · 08:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1448
3-1Final setsMleczko won
TPTomasz Pisarczyk
🇵🇱Tomasz Pisarczyk
ELO 1373
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 66%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mleczko favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Pisarczyk.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 71% → final 100%
Tomasz Pisarczyk ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsMleczko recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games