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27 Sep · 08:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DWDamian Wasilewski
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1470
2-3Final setsKesik won
GKGracjan Kesik
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kesik at 52%. The actual result was Gracjan Kesik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Gracjan Kesik favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Gracjan Kesik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Gracjan Kesik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Wasilewski is favoured to win, below means Gracjan Kesik.

▲ Damian Wasilewskipre 44% → final 16%
Gracjan Kesik ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsKesik recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games