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27 Sep · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1562
2-3Final setsAdamus won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1535
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 53%. The actual result was Kacper Adamus 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Adamus favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Adamus −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gumulinski is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Piotr Gumulinskipre 50% → final 2%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsAdamus recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games