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27 Sep · 09:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1623
1-3Final setsLach won
MLMarcin Lach
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1605
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 54%. The actual result was Marcin Lach 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 73.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Marcin Lach.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 51% → final 26%
Marcin Lach ▼
Biggest swing 37 ptsLach recovered from 37%64 points · 4 games