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27 Sep · 09:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GKGracjan Kesik
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1510
2-3Final setsMleczko won
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1457
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kesik at 58%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Gracjan Kesik favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Gracjan Kesik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Gracjan Kesik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Gracjan Kesik is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mleczko.

▲ Gracjan Kesikpre 62% → final 98%
Bartlomiej Mleczko ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsKesik recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games