28 Sept · 18:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1487
FormWWWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Gesiarz
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1238
FormLLLLL
75%
25%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 63% (54)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H34-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-18)