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27 Sep · 11:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1357
1-3Final setsWasilewski won
DWDamian Wasilewski
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1467
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wasilewski at 61%. The actual result was Damian Wasilewski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wasilewski favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 72.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wasilewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wasilewski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Damian Wasilewski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 35% → final 19%
Damian Wasilewski ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 4 games