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27 Sep · 11:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1596
3-2Final setsGumulinski won
RWRafal Wojcik
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1470
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 58%. The actual result was Piotr Gumulinski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 75.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Gumulinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Gumulinski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gumulinski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Wojcik.

▲ Piotr Gumulinskipre 62% → final 5%
Rafal Wojcik ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsWojcik recovered from 34%54 points · 3 games