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27 Sep · 11:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1616
3-2Final setsJedrzejak won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1538
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 58%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 74.5
107 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 62% → final 98%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games