27 Sept · 14:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1315
FormWWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sinicki
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1406
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~82 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)