27 Sept · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1609
FormWWWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Lach
RP
🇵🇱Roman Piechnik
ELO 1400
FormLLWLL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)