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27 Sep · 12:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1351
1-3Final setsKesik won
GKGracjan Kesik
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1522
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kesik at 66%. The actual result was Gracjan Kesik 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Gracjan Kesik favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 73.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Gracjan Kesik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Gracjan Kesik −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Gracjan Kesik.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 36% → final 7%
Gracjan Kesik ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts72 points · 4 games