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27 Sep · 12:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1588
3-1Final setsGumulinski won
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1616
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 54%. The actual result was Piotr Gumulinski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 73.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gumulinski is favoured to win, below means Patryk Jedrzejak.

▲ Piotr Gumulinskipre 42% → final 89%
Patryk Jedrzejak ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsGumulinski recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games