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27 Sep · 13:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RPRoman Piechnik
🇵🇱Roman Piechnik
ELO 1397
3-0Final setsPiechnik won
RWRafal Wojcik
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1465
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wojcik at 60%. The actual result was Roman Piechnik 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Wojcik favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
64 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Wojcik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Wojcik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
9.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Piechnik is favoured to win, below means Rafal Wojcik.

▲ Roman Piechnikpre 43% → final 1%
Rafal Wojcik ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts59 points · 3 games