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27 Sep · 13:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1351
2-3Final setsMleczko won
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1446
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 59%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mleczko favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 73.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mleczko.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 37% → final 2%
Bartlomiej Mleczko ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsMleczko recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games