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DeuceLab
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27 Sep · 14:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1588
3-2Final setsGumulinski won
MLMarcin Lach
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1614
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 50%. The actual result was Piotr Gumulinski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Lach favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Lach −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Lach −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gumulinski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Lach.

▲ Piotr Gumulinskipre 54% → final 1%
Marcin Lach ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsLach recovered from 30%68 points · 4 games