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27 Sep · 14:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GKGracjan Kesik
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1522
3-0Final setsKesik won
DWDamian Wasilewski
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1467
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kesik at 53%. The actual result was Gracjan Kesik 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Damian Wasilewski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Damian Wasilewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Damian Wasilewski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Gracjan Kesik is favoured to win, below means Damian Wasilewski.

▲ Gracjan Kesikpre 57% → final 84%
Damian Wasilewski ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsKesik recovered from 40%72 points · 5 games