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27 Sep · 17:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1596
3-1Final setsGumulinski won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1537
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 55%. The actual result was Piotr Gumulinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 77.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gumulinski is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Piotr Gumulinskipre 52% → final 2%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsAdamus recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games