Rafal Ogon vs Michal Guzik — TT Elite Series

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27 Sep · 17:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Ogon

ELO 1198

2-3Final setsGuzik won

🇵🇱Michal Guzik

ELO 1747

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 92%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Ogon — profile →Michal Guzik — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.06

Favourite won

Total 64.5

89 points played

Over

Set handicap

Michal Guzik −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Guzik −11.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Ogon is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Rafal Ogonpre 8% → final 2%

Michal Guzik ▼

Biggest swing 21 pts72 points · 5 games