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27 Sep · 18:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1361
1-3Final setsKotwica won
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1362
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kotwica at 53%. The actual result was Dawid Kotwica 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 76.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kotwica.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 50% → final 2%
Dawid Kotwica ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsKotwica recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games