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27 Sep · 18:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1490
3-2Final setsKurek won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1468
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vincenec at 52%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
110 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 44% → final 95%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsKurek recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games