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27 Sep · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SKSebastian Krupa
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1528
3-1Final setsKrupa won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1743
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 73%. The actual result was Sebastian Krupa 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 73.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Krupa is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Sebastian Krupapre 28% → final 83%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsKrupa recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games