28 Sept · 00:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1506
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Linek
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1494
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Linek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Linek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H11-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.