28 Sept · 00:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1494
FormWLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Brud
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1362
FormLWWLL
64%
36%
🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H16-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-6)