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27 Sep · 23:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1513
2-3Final setsPruszkowski won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 67%. The actual result was Jakub Pruszkowski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 73.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 35% → final 7%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsPruszkowski recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games