Pawel Kurek vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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28 Sep · 01:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Pawel Kurek

ELO 1513

3-0Final setsKurek won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1489

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 51%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

Pawel Kurek — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.52

Favourite won

Total 78.5

55 points played

Under

Set handicap

Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Pawel Kurek −3.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

4.45

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 55% → final 98%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 57 ptsKurek recovered from 43%54 points · 3 games