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28 Sep · 01:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1447
2-3Final setsBaron won
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1484
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oliver Vincenec is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Oliver Vincenecpre 44% → final 5%
Mariusz Baron ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsBaron recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games