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28 Sep · 02:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1521
3-1Final setsKurek won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1584
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 68%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 73.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pruszkowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 34% → final 98%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsKurek recovered from 14%72 points · 4 games