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28 Sep · 03:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1594
3-1Final setsPruszkowski won
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1484
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 60%. The actual result was Jakub Pruszkowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 77.5
76 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Pruszkowski is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Jakub Pruszkowskipre 64% → final 99%
Mariusz Baron ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts72 points · 4 games