Daniel Kostal vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz — TT Elite Series

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28 Sep · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Daniel Kostal

ELO 1553

3-0Final setsKostal won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz

ELO 1680

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 64%. The actual result was Daniel Kostal 3-0 — the underdog won.

Daniel Kostal — profile →Grzegorz Poliniewicz — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.45

Upset

Total 73.5

60 points played

Under

Set handicap

Poliniewicz −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Poliniewicz −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

11.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Kostal is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Daniel Kostalpre 38% → final 98%

Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼

Biggest swing 63 ptsKostal recovered from 35%58 points · 3 games