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28 Sep · 04:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1429
3-1Final setsMachelski won
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1435
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wolny at 51%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wolny favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 73.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wolny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wolny −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Michal Wolny.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 45% → final 95%
Michal Wolny ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsMachelski recovered from 29%69 points · 4 games