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28 Sep · 06:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1647
3-0Final setsRutkowski won
DKDaniel Kostal
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1565
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 60%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rutkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rutkowski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Daniel Kostal.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 57% → final 98%
Daniel Kostal ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts52 points · 3 games