Yurij Fomin vs Rafal Niemiec — TT Elite Series

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28 Sep · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Yurij Fomin

ELO 1407

1-3Final setsNiemiec won

🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec

ELO 1517

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 60%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Yurij Fomin — profile →Rafal Niemiec — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Niemiec favoured — closing 1.6

Favourite won

Total 74.5

70 points played

Under

Set handicap

Niemiec −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Niemiec −2.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

4.7

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Yurij Fomin is favoured to win, below means Rafal Niemiec.

▲ Yurij Fominpre 36% → final 8%

Rafal Niemiec ▼

Biggest swing 57 ptsNiemiec recovered from 35%69 points · 4 games