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28 Sep · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WSWitold Stechly
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1198
2-3Final setsWolny won
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1431
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wolny at 73%. The actual result was Michal Wolny 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wolny favoured — closing 1.16
Favourite won
Total 68.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wolny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wolny −10.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Witold Stechly is favoured to win, below means Michal Wolny.

▲ Witold Stechlypre 28% → final 18%
Michal Wolny ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsWolny recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games