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28 Sep · 10:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1641
3-1Final setsKapik won
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1752
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wloczko at 61%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wloczko favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 73.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wloczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wloczko −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Wloczko.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 35% → final 97%
Krzysztof Wloczko ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsKapik recovered from 21%65 points · 4 games