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28 Sep · 10:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RNRafal Niemiec
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1517
2-3Final setsTobiasz won
WTWojciech Tobiasz
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1390
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 64%. The actual result was Wojciech Tobiasz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tobiasz favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 74.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tobiasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tobiasz −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Tobiasz.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 62% → final 26%
Wojciech Tobiasz ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsTobiasz recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games