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28 Sep · 11:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1647
3-2Final setsRutkowski won
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1747
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wloczko at 64%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wloczko favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 72.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wloczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wloczko −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Wloczko.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 38% → final 74%
Krzysztof Wloczko ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsRutkowski recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games